The Market

the auction market according to…

By billn on February 11, 2019 #the market

Well, according to Sotheby’s:

Here are our highlights from 2018, a record breaking year:

– Annual wine and spirits sales exceed $100 million for first time

– Sotheby’s has achieved over $1.1 billion in wine auction sales worldwide since 1995

– Auction sales surged over 50%

– #1 worldwide in live Auction sales, and #1 overall in Asia

– World’s most expensive bottle of wine sold at $558,000

– Highest price for any spirit in the Americas at $843,200

– Burgundy represented 42% of sales

– Asian buyers represented 63% of sales

– #1 Wine producer is Domaine de la Romanée-Conti at $24 million / 21% of sales

– Retail has highest level of sales ever, in both Asia and New York

– Highest value single retail transaction at US$1.5 Million

It’s probably good that I’m enjoying some Beaujolais this week, if DRC is now 24 million a bottle (give it time!)….

offer of the day – william fevre 2017

By billn on February 07, 2019 #the market

Hot from my inbox this morning from my usual Swiss importer source. The prices of the 2016s and 2015s are in brackets for you to compare. My full report on the 2017s will be online in 10 days, but for any subscriber desperate for info on these, feel free to send me a note:

DOMAINE WILLIAM FEVRE CHABLIS 2017
CHABLIS Village 75cl 22.00 (22.00, 19.00) Swiss Francs*
PREMIERS CRUS
CHABLIS Montée de Tonnerre 75cl 48.00 (45.00, 42.00)
CHABLIS Vaulorent 75cl 54.00 (—)
GRANDS CRUS
CHABLIS Preuses 75cl 78.00 (75.00, 65.00)
CHABLIS Bougros Côtes de Bouquerots 75cl 79.50 (79.00, 65.00)
CHABLIS Les Clos 75cl 89.00 (89.00, 75.00)

No surprise that there has been no relaxation of most prices – only the volumes of villages Chablis recovered, some, in 2017. For the others the frost was often worse than in 2016…
*The prices are ‘delivered’ but will attract another 8% Swiss purchase tax.

offer of the day – faiveley 2017…

By billn on February 03, 2019 #the market

Whilst I may have missed the 14s, here you can see the ‘progression’ of same merchant’s prices (in Switzerland) for the 12s, 13s, 15s, 16s and now the 2017s. The format here for the prices is simple: 2017 (2016, 2015, 2013, 2012) and — if not previously offered…

DOMAINE FAIVELEY 2017 – En Primeur

PREMIERS CRUS
Pommard Rugiens 2017 75cl 75.00 (86.00, —)
Gevrey-Chambertin Clos des Issarts 2017 75cl 69.00 (—)
Gevrey-Chambertin Les Cazetiers 2017 75cl 79.00 (84.00, 78.00, 72.50, 69.80) Swiss Francs*
Gevrey-Chambertin Les Cazetiers 2017 150cl 163.00 (173.00, 161.00, —, —)
Nuits-Saint-Georges Les Saint-Georges 2017 75cl 99.00 (115.00, 98.00, 98.00, 98.00)
Nuits-Saint-Georges Les Saint-Georges 2017 150cl — (235.00, —)
Chambolle-Musigny Les Fuées 2017 75cl 125.00 (135.00, 128.00, 119.00, 119.00)
Chambolle-Musigny la Combe d’Orveau 2017 75cl 119.00 (132.00, 124.00, 119.00, 119.00)
Chambolle-Musigny Les Amoureuses 2017 75cl 199.00 (249.00, 229.00, 228.00, 228.00)

GRAND CRUS
Corton Clos des Cortons 2017 75cl 149.00 (169.00, 149.00, 139.00, 139)
Corton Clos des Cortons 2017 150cl 303.00 (343.00, 303.00, 283.00, 283)
Corton Clos des Cortons 2017 300cl 656.00 (736.00, 656.00, —, —)
Echezeaux 2017 75cl — (165.00, 149.00, —, —)
Mazis-Chambertin 2017 75cl 178.00 (198.00, 179.00, 167.00, 169)
Mazis-Chambertin 2017 150cl 361.00 (401.00, 363.00, —, —)
Mazis-Chambertin 2017 300cl 776.00 (852.00, 776.00, —, —)
Grands Echezeaux 2017 75cl 188.00 (208.00, 198.00, 198.00, —)
Charmes-Chambertin 2017 75cl — (165.00, —)
Latricières-Chambertin 2017 75cl 165.00 (189.00, —)
Clos de Vougeot 2017 75cl — (159.00, —)
Chambertin Clos de Bèze 2017 75cl 249.00 (299.00, 278.00, 249.00, 235)
Chambertin Clos de Bèze 2017 150cl 503.00 (603.00, 561.00, 503.00, 475)
Chambertin Clos de Bèze 2017 300cl 1,056.00 (1,256.00, 1,172.00, —, —)
Chambertin Clos de Bèze Les Ouvrées Rodin 2017 75cl 698.00 (745.00, 659.00, 598.00, 598)

Bâtard-Montrachet 2017 75cl — (298.00, —)
Bienvenues Bâtard-Montrachet 2017 75cl — (269.00, —)
Corton Charlemagne 2017 75cl 189.00 (189.00, 169.00, 169.00, 159)

*There is 8% Tax to add in Switzerland, but then these are delivered prices

The first really significant price decreases that I have seen for 2017 – that said, the prices have only dropped to be in-line with 2015, though the quality is more that of 2014 – still, 2012-2015 were relatively stable prices chez Faiveley for this merchant. Only the Charlemagne seems to ‘justify’ the higher prices of yore…

changes at domaine de la romanée-conti

By billn on February 01, 2019 #the market

Received from the domaine this morning:

“Following the early death of her cousin, Mr Henry-Frédéric Roch, who had been the Domaine’s co-director representing the Leroy Family since 1992 besides Aubert de Villaine, Mrs Perrine Fenal was appointed by her family and nominated by the Domaine shareholders’ meeting of January 23rd 2019 to take this position.
Perrine has always felt deeply attached to the Domaine on both a professional and personal level. When she was a child, she often accompanied her grand-father, Henri Leroy, and then her mother, Lalou Bize-Leroy.
Between 1992 and 2004 she was the Domaine’s exclusive importer and distributor in the French-speaking part of Switzerland. In 2004 she was appointed to replace her aunt, Mrs Pauline Roch, at the supervisory board. Mrs Isabelle Roch, Pauline Roch’s daughter and Henry-Frédéric Roch’s sister, will replace her in this position.”

offer of the day – louis jadot 2017

By billn on January 30, 2019 #the market

DOMAINE LOUIS JADOT 2017

As always, from my locval, Swiss merchant. First the 2016 and then 2015 offer prices in the brackets to compare, and — means not offered)

Beaune Clos des Ursules Monopole 1er Cru 2017 75cl 59.00* (59.00, 55.00) (Swiss Francs)
Beaune Clos des Ursules Monopole 1er Cru 2017 150cl 123.00
Pommard 1er Cru Rugiens 2017 75cl 69.50 (69.50, —)
Corton Grèves Grand Cru 2017 75cl 79.50 (79.50, 79.00)
Corton Grèves Grand Cru 2017 150cl 164.00
Corton Pougets Grand Cru 2017 75cl 79.50 (79.50, 79.00)
Corton Pougets Grand Cru 2017 150cl 164.00
Chambolle-Musigny Fuées 1er Cru 2017 75cl 85.00 (—)
Chambolle-Musigny Baudes 1er Cru 2017 75cl 85.00 (—)
Clos Vougeot Grand Cru 2017 75cl 139.00 (138.00, 128.00)
Clos Vougeot Grand Cru 2017 150cl 283.00
Gevrey-Chambertin Clos Saint-Jacques 1er Cru 2017 75cl 149.00 (145.00, 138.00)
Echézeaux Grand Cru 2017 75cl 159.00 (—)
Chapelle-Chambertin Grand Cru 2017 75cl — (188.00, 169.00)
Clos Saint Denis Grand Cru 2017 75cl — (269.00, 259.00)
Chambertin Clos de Bèze Grand Cru 2017 75cl 339.00 (—)
Musigny Grand Cru 2017 75cl 795.00 (—)

Puligny-Montrachet Les Combettes 1er Cru 2017 75cl 89.00 (89.00, 88.00)
Corton-Charlemagne Grand Cru 2017 75cl 148.00 (139.50, 119.00)
Bâtard-Montrachet Grand Cru 2017 75cl 285.00 (—)
Chevalier-Montrachet Grand Cru 2017 75cl 348.00 (—)
Montrachet Grand Cru 2017 75cl — (499.00, 428.00)

*Prices delivered, but without the 8% Swiss purchase tax…

Some cuvéees are ‘hidden’ by not being available in both vintages, but generally price holding rather than softening – though there are certainly many great wines here in this vintage.

offer of the day – drouhin-laroze 2017

By billn on January 29, 2019 #the market

DOMAINE DROUHIN-LAROZE 2017 – En Primeur
Prices of the 2016s, from this time last year, in brackets. As each year from the same Swiss source.

Gevrey-Chambertin En Champs 2017 75cl 49.50* (49.50) Swiss Francs
Gevrey-Chambertin Lavaut-St-Jacques 1er Cru 2017 75cl 69.00 (65.00)

GRAND CRUS
Chapelle-Chambertin Grand Cru 2017 75 cl 125.00 (119.00)
Clos Vougeot Grand Cru 2017 75cl — (125.00)
Bonnes-Mares Grand Cru 2017 75cl 149.00 (145.00)
Chambertin Clos de Bèze Grand Cru 2017 75cl 165.00 (158.00)

*There is 8% Tax to add in Switzerland, but then these are delivered prices

One could say that these are relatively modest price increases versus those that we have become accustomed to, yet in 2017 the yields are not low, and the quality is good though far from great. Except that this domaine’s wines are relatively cheap vs the market averages, I see no reason for the increases from a volume or quality perspective.

more wine than coche-dury

By billn on January 28, 2019 #the market

If you are short of a few bottles, Sotheby’s is now touting their up-coming Tran-scend-ent Hong-Kong sale, 29-31 March 2019.

You have been warned…

…over 250 lots of Domaine de la Romanée-Conti, over 80 lots of Maison and Domaine Leroy, including 20 cases of Grands Echézeaux 1959 Maison Leroy, and 6 cases of Echézeaux 1966 Maison Leroy. Then there’s ‘over 600 lots of Domaine Coche-Dury forms the most complete ‘library’ of Coche-Dury to be seen at auction, the number of bottles potentially exceeding stocks held by the winery…

Oh, and there’s Champagne, Rhône and Bordeaux too!

icymi – week 51 2018 – investment burgundy

By billn on December 21, 2018 #the market

/thedrinksbusiness.com/2018/12/the-rise-of-other-burgundy/

There’s an obvious problem with this, and you can see that right from the bold title of the table introducing you to such delights – the table is by value, not by volume. Of-course a few of the wines in the table have decent volume too – Ponsot’s Clos de la Roche is not bad, 3.3 hectares and at a rough 30 hl/ha that’s about 13,000 bottles – a big cuvée for Burgundy. The Clos des Lambrays and Clos de Tart are even bigger cuvées – no surprise for grand cru (sometimes quasi) monopolies – even the Rousseau Chambertin is not so bad – but that’s where the volume stops, there are wines in this list that often produce 1-2 barrels – yes – 1-2 barrels. A table based on such things has no real perspective.

I do not deny the rise of worth of Burgundy, that would be a ridiculous standpoint, but today the chance of buying full 12-bottle cases, indeed 6-bottle cases of important wines shrinks by the year – it is already a few years since importers introduced the 3-bottle case, and there’s a queue for those too! I know that the superstars bring the headlines – DRC, Leroy – but at least DRC has some volume, Leroy is the typical poster-child of this ‘investment perspective’ – “The preponderance of Leroy in this adjusted top 10 and its strong price performance overall is the reason why it was ranked as the strongest brand in this year’s ‘Power 100’ list” – bombastic – no? They may have 0.5 hectares of the Chambertin that is noted, but they rarely produce more than a couple of barrels, indeed they produce only 1-2 barrels of many things, but no more.

A real indicator would be all the grand crus sold at major auctions, and their price tracked – of-course it would still be skewed by a big DRC sale, or single bottle of 1945 Romanée-Conti sold for $0.5 million. But then there is at least a volume of transactions behind a number that you can track each year. Of-course I’m glossing over the fact that less than 4% of the Côte d’Or’s production is grand cru, closer to 1% if you look at burgundy wine as a whole. But when a single 6 pack of Leroy Chambertin (and there are not many of those) is traded twice in a year, but makes 20% less on the second occasion – it depends on who is in the room, bidding – does that mean that the market has tanked?

analysing the sales numbers from the 158th hospices auction

By billn on November 21, 2018 #the market

As promised (late) on Sunday evening, a little, more thoughtful analysis of the statistics of the 158th Hospices de Beaune, sale.

  • Here is a list of the ‘top lots.’ (pdf)
  • Whilst these are, at the outset, domaine wines, the sale should still be viewed in the context of a market where the bulk prices – at least at regional and communal levels – are beginning to soften: The softening is unsurprising following two vintages with a reasonable supply of wine, though with a backdrop of empty cellars. But given a market where demand exceeds supply for the highest value wines, we are unlikely to see a reduction in contract prices for those.
  • It’s interesting that on the one hand the President’s barrel fetched only half the value of the previous year, yet on the the other hand the Côte de Nuits grand crus and particularly the Bâtard-Montrachet grand cru of the Hospices increase in price each year by leaps and bounds. The Corton grand crus never exhibit the same cachet.
  • On a per barrel basis, the wine was still cheaper in 2018 than in 2015, but as you can see, roughly three times more expensive than in well-reputed vintages with a similar yield of barrels, such as 2005 or 2009.
  • For a vintage where a lot of hype is building, equally interesting is that the price per barrel is relatively consistent with 2017 and still some way below the value produced by the 2015s.
  • Given the vintage hype, it seems reasonable to attribute the higher barrel price (over 2017) to that, as opposed to irrational market exuberance, though the jury will be out for the best part of a year re the eventual quality of the reds and particularly the whites:
    VintageSale Total € millions*Price per barrel**Number of barrels
    ***2005€3.79 million€4,803789
    2009€4.99 million€6,250799
    2015€11.3 million€18,880575
    2016€8.4 million€13,833596
    2017€13.5 million€16,657787
    2018€13.95 million€16,850828

    *Ex Christies, without commissions, the President’s Barrel, Marc de Bourgogne or Fine de Bourgogne…
    **Ex Christies, without commissions…
    ***I remember when I thought those prices very high!

Burgundy Report

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